Critical Confabulations

a theatre, film & pop culture review

2012 Oscars: Nominee Predictions

Awards Daily wants to know what you think will be nominated. I’ve sent in my results, but here are my predictions below (and let me tell you, I’m not exactly excited about any of them). What do you think? The actual nominations will be announced on Tuesday, January 24th.

Best Picture

  1. The Artist
  2. The Descendants
  3. The Help
  4. Midnight in Paris
  5. Moneyball
  6. Hugo
  7. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
  8. War Horse
  9. The Ides of March
  10. My Week with Marilyn

Just because the Academy can nominate 10 films, doesn’t mean it will. However, the first 8 seem like shoe-ins at this point. If there’s a 9 and a 10, well, they could really go to almost anything (The Tree of Life should be up here, but the Academy won’t go for it). A lot of people are predicting Bridesmaids, but I honestly think the Academy is too old for that (My Week with Marilyn is more its style), and personally, I can’t fathom a world in which Bridesmaids is an Oscar-nominated film.

Best Director

  1. Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
  2. Alexander Payne, The Descendants
  3. Martin Scorsese, Hugo
  4. Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
  5. Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life

The first four are guaranteed nominees. The fifth slot? Well, that’s up for grabs. Malick may get some love here for his epic indulgence (which I would support), but for some inexplicable reason Clooney was nominated for the Golden Globe for The Ides of March, so he could sneak in. Another possibility is Fincher for the slickly filmed The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (which I’m rooting for).

Best Actor

  1. George Clooney, The Descendants
  2. Jean Dujardin, The Artist
  3. Brad Pitt, Moneyball
  4. Michael Fassbender, Shame
  5. Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar

The first three are solid. The other two options for the fourth and fifth slots are Gary Oldman (Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy) and Demian Bichir (A Better Life).

Best Actress

  1. Viola Davis, The Help
  2. Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
  3. Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
  4. Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
  5. Rooney Mara, The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo

While I’m surprised to see Mara up there, the buzz is high, though she could be shut out by Tilda Swinton (We Need To Talk About Kevin) or — an even longer shot — Charlize Theron (Young Adult).

Best Supporting Actor

  1. Christopher Plummer, Beginners
  2. Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn
  3. Albert Brooks, Drive
  4. Jonah Hill, Moneyball
  5. Viggo Mortensen, A Dangerous Method

While I can’t imagine anyone else being nominated, with such a strange year, these nominees aren’t actually solid (I think it would be quite fun if Ben Kingsley was nominated for Hugo). With one exception: Christopher Plummer will be nominated — and he will win. If the 2012 Oscars accomplish nothing else, my grandpa, as I affectionately refer to the ever-charming Plummer, will finally, at age 82, take home an Oscar.

Best Supporting Actress

  1. Octavia Spencer, The Help
  2. Bérénice Bejo, The Artist
  3. Jessica Chastain, The Help
  4. Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
  5. Shailene Woodley, The Descendants

Possible Spoiler: Carey Mulligan (Shame)

Best Original Screenplay

  1. Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
  2. Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
  3. Asghar Farhadi, A Separation
  4. Will Reiser, 50/50
  5. Diablo Cody, Young Adult

Bridesmaids could steal a slot here, quite easily — that’s how dismal a year it is for original screenplays. And the WGA also nominated Win Win, but…whatever.

Best Adapted Screenplay

  1. Nat Faxon, Alexander Payne & Jim Rash, The Descendants
  2. Aaron Sorkin & Steven Zaillian, Moneyball
  3. George Clooney & Grant Heslov, The Ides of March
  4. Tate Taylor, The Help
  5. Steven Zaillian, The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo

Possible spoilers: John Logan, Hugo; Richard Curtis & Lee Hall, War Horse

Best Animated Feature

  1. The Adventures of Tintin
  2. Arthur Christmas
  3. Cars 2
  4. Puss In Boots
  5. Rango

Best Foreign Language Film

  1. A Separation (Iran)
  2. The Skin I Live In (Spain)
  3. Pina (Germany)
  4. In Darkness (Poland)
  5. The Flowers of War (China)

Best Documented Feature

  1. Project Nim
  2. Hell and Back Again
  3. Paradise Lost 3
  4. Pina
  5. We Were Here

Potential spoiler: Bill Cunningham New York

Best Film Editing

  1. The Artist
  2. Hugo
  3. War Horse
  4. Moneyball
  5. The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo

Possible spoiler: The Tree of Life

Best Cinematography

  1. The Artist
  2. The Tree of Life
  3. Hugo
  4. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
  5. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

Possible spoiler: Jane Eyre

Best Art Direction

  1. Hugo
  2. The Artist
  3. The Help
  4. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
  5. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2

Possible spoiler: The ADG-nominated Anonymous.

Best Costume Design

  1. The Artist
  2. Hugo
  3. Jane Eyre
  4. The Help
  5. W.E.

Because all of the above are period films, I have to believe one of them will be knocked out in favor of a more contemporary piece — or Harry Potter. But my hope for a spoiler is The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo.

Best Original Score

  1. The Artist
  2. War Horse
  3. Hugo
  4. The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo
  5. Harry Potter

Possible spoiler: Anything else scored by Alexandre Desplat. The man is ubiquitous.

Best Original Song

  1. “Masterpiece,” W.E.
  2. “Lay Your Head Down,” Albert Nobbs
  3. “The Living Proof,” The Help
  4. “Coeur Volant,” Hugo
  5. “Hello Hello,” Gnomeo & Juliet

Sound Mixing

  1. War Horse
  2. The Adventures of Tintin
  3. Mission: Impossible – Ghost Protocol
  4. Rise of the Planet of the Apes
  5. The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo

Possible spoiler: Transformers: Dark Side of the Moon (Isn’t it always nominated?), Super 8

Best Sound Editing

  1. War Horse
  2. Super 8
  3. The Adventures of Tintin
  4. The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo
  5. Rise of the Planet of the Apes

Possible spoiler: Transformers: Dark Side of the Moon (Isn’t it always nominated?), Mission: Impossible – Ghost Protocol

Best Visual Effects

  1. Rise of the Planet of the Apes
  2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
  3. Hugo
  4. Transformers: Dark Side of the Moon
  5. Super 8

Best Makeup

  1. The Iron Lady
  2. Hugo
  3. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
  4. The Artist
  5. Albert Nobbs
Advertisements

2 comments on “2012 Oscars: Nominee Predictions

  1. Aaron
    January 21, 2012

    I’m thinking that Leo will be snubbed, but I can’t quite figure out who goes there instead. Michael Shannon is my guess.

    The Skin I Live In and Flowers of War are both out for Foreign Language. I expect Israel’s Footnote and I am crossing my fingers for Taiwan’s Warriors of the Rainbow: Sideeq Bale, but I would wager that the other slot goes to Canada’s Monsieur Lazhar.

    Also: I predict (and hope for) a big fat 0 nominations for Ides of March.

    Like

    • Julie
      January 21, 2012

      I don’t know, Leo’s been holding pretty steady. He has no chance of winning, but that’s beside the point.

      Besides A Separation, I honestly have no idea what will be nominated for Foreign Language. Same for Docs.

      I hope you are right about Ides, but I doubt it.

      Like

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Information

This entry was posted on January 21, 2012 by in Award Predictions, Film Reviews, Oscar-Nominated and tagged .

Archives

Categories

%d bloggers like this: