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Awards Daily wants to know what you think will be nominated. I’ve sent in my results, but here are my predictions below (and let me tell you, I’m not exactly excited about any of them). What do you think? The actual nominations will be announced on Tuesday, January 24th.
Just because the Academy can nominate 10 films, doesn’t mean it will. However, the first 8 seem like shoe-ins at this point. If there’s a 9 and a 10, well, they could really go to almost anything (The Tree of Life should be up here, but the Academy won’t go for it). A lot of people are predicting Bridesmaids, but I honestly think the Academy is too old for that (My Week with Marilyn is more its style), and personally, I can’t fathom a world in which Bridesmaids is an Oscar-nominated film.
The first four are guaranteed nominees. The fifth slot? Well, that’s up for grabs. Malick may get some love here for his epic indulgence (which I would support), but for some inexplicable reason Clooney was nominated for the Golden Globe for The Ides of March, so he could sneak in. Another possibility is Fincher for the slickly filmed The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (which I’m rooting for).
The first three are solid. The other two options for the fourth and fifth slots are Gary Oldman (Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy) and Demian Bichir (A Better Life).
While I’m surprised to see Mara up there, the buzz is high, though she could be shut out by Tilda Swinton (We Need To Talk About Kevin) or — an even longer shot — Charlize Theron (Young Adult).
While I can’t imagine anyone else being nominated, with such a strange year, these nominees aren’t actually solid (I think it would be quite fun if Ben Kingsley was nominated for Hugo). With one exception: Christopher Plummer will be nominated — and he will win. If the 2012 Oscars accomplish nothing else, my grandpa, as I affectionately refer to the ever-charming Plummer, will finally, at age 82, take home an Oscar.
Possible Spoiler: Carey Mulligan (Shame)
Bridesmaids could steal a slot here, quite easily — that’s how dismal a year it is for original screenplays. And the WGA also nominated Win Win, but…whatever.
Possible spoilers: John Logan, Hugo; Richard Curtis & Lee Hall, War Horse
Potential spoiler: Bill Cunningham New York
Possible spoiler: The Tree of Life
Possible spoiler: Jane Eyre
Possible spoiler: The ADG-nominated Anonymous.
Because all of the above are period films, I have to believe one of them will be knocked out in favor of a more contemporary piece — or Harry Potter. But my hope for a spoiler is The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo.
Possible spoiler: Anything else scored by Alexandre Desplat. The man is ubiquitous.
Possible spoiler: Transformers: Dark Side of the Moon (Isn’t it always nominated?), Super 8
Possible spoiler: Transformers: Dark Side of the Moon (Isn’t it always nominated?), Mission: Impossible – Ghost Protocol