Critical Confabulations

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2013 Tony Awards: Nominee Predictions

My 2013 Tony Awards Nomination Predictions

The Tony nominees will be announced on the morning of Tuesday, April 30. Since I’ve seen, well, the vast majority of the 38 eligible shows, I figure I can offer some semi-decent predictions in the major categories. Here we go!

Best Play

  1. The Assembled Parties by Richard Greenberg
  2. Lucky Guy by Nora Ephron
  3. The Nance by Douglas Carter Beane
  4. Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike by Christopher Durang

Also Eligible: The Anarchist by David Mamet (ha ha ha), Ann by Holland Taylor, Breakfast at Tiffany’s adapted by Richard Greenberg, Dead Accounts by Theresa Rebeck (HA HA HA), Grace by Craig Wright, I’ll Eat You Last: A Chat with Sue Mengers by John Logan, The Other Place by Sharr White, The Testament of Mary by Colm Tóibín

Possible Spoiler: Grace (Because I want it to.)

Best Musical

  1. A Christmas Story with score by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul, adapted book by Joseph Robinette
  2. Kinky Boots with score by Cyndi Lauper and adapted book by Harvey Fierstein
  3. Matilda the Musical with score by Tim Minchin and adapted book by Dennis Kelly
  4. Motown the Musical with book by Berry Gordy

Also Eligible: Bring It On: The Musical with score by Tom Kitt and Lin-Manuel Miranda, lyrics by Amanda Green and adapted book by Jeff Whitty; Chaplin: The Musical with score by Christopher Curtis and book by Thomas Meehan and Christopher Curtis; Hands on a Hard Body with score by Trey Anastasio, lyrics by Amanda Green and book by Doug Wright; Scandalous with score by David Friedman and David Pomeranz and book/lyrics by Kathie Lee Gifford

Possible Spoiler: Hands on a Hard Body (Though, god help us, I don’t know why.)

Best Play Revival

  1. Golden Boy by Clifford Odets
  2. Orphans by Lyle Kessler
  3. The Trip to Bountiful by Horton Foote
  4. Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf? by Edward Albee

Also Eligible: The Big Knife by Clifford Odets, Cat on a Hot Tin Roof by Tennessee Williams, Cyrano de Bergerac by Edmond Rostand, An Enemy of the People by Henrik Ibsen, Glengarry Glen Ross by David Mamet, Harvey by Mary Chase, The Heiress by Ruth & Augustus Goetz, Macbeth by William Shakespeare, Picnic by William Inge

Note: This is actually Orphan‘s Broadway premiere, but the Tony Awards Administration Committee deemed it a revival due to its NYC premiere Off-Broadway in 1985.

Best Musical Revival

  1. Annie with music by Charles Strouse, lyrics by Martin Charnin and book by Thomas Meehan
  2. The Mystery of Edwin Drood with book, music and lyrics by Rupert Holmes
  3. Pippin with score by Stephen Schwartz and book by Roger O. Hirson
  4. Cinderella with score by Richard Rodgers, lyrics by Oscar Hammerstein II and adapted book by Douglas Carter Beane

Also Eligible: Jekyll & Hyde with score by Frank Wildhorn and book/lyrics by Leslie Bricusse (Why not  make all 5 nominees? It just seems silly when so few are eligible. Poor Frank. Dude can’t catch a break.)

Note: While this is Cinderella‘s Broadway premiere, the original R&H musical was televised in 1957 starring Julie Andrews.

Best Actor in a Play

  1. Alan Cumming, Macbeth
  2. David Hyde Pierce, Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike 
  3. Nathan Lane, The Nance
  4. Tom Hanks, Lucky Guy
  5. Tracy Letts, Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?

Possible Spoilers: Michael Shannon in Grace (I’m pulling for you!!! Though, truth be told, I’m not sure if he’s leading or featured) and Norbert Leo Butz in Dead Accounts (Norbs is beloved by Tony, but the play was such a dud and so long ago that they, sadly, may have forgotten how excellent he was. I do believe Tony has the shortest memory out of all entertainment awards.)

Best Actress in a Play

  1. Bette MidlerI’ll Eat You Last
  2. Cicely TysonThe Trip to Bountiful
  3. Holland TaylorAnn
  4. Kristine NielsenVanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike
  5. Laurie MetcalfThe Other Place

Possible Spoilers: Fiona Shaw in The Testament of Mary (fabulous and the best bet to rock the boat here, but may be a little too crazy/controversial for Tony), Jessica Hecht in The Assembled Parties, Amy Morton in Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?

Note: The Tony Awards Administration Committee surprisingly deemed Kristine Nielsen leading lady material, which pretty much knocks Sigourney Weaver (who most consider the actual lead of Vanya) out of this race.

Best Actor in a Musical

  1. Anthony Warlow, Annie
  2. Bertie CarvelMatilda The Musical
  3. Billy PorterKinky Boots
  4. Rob McClureChaplin
  5. Santino FontanaCinderella

Possible Spoilers: Quite frankly, I’m going against the odds with placing Santino up there, but whatever, he deserves it. More than likely, Brandon Victor Dixen (Motown the Musical) will have his place. I also kind of (absurdly) wish Constantine Maroulis (Jekyll & Hyde) will make a showing (Hey, he’s been nominated before!)

Note: Ludicrously, the Tony Awards Administration Committee deemed Bertie Carvel’s performance as Miss Trunchbull in Matilda as leading (which the show’s producers, of course, pushed for), thus forcing the two best performers in a musical this year to compete against each other when they needn’t! Billy and Bertie, you both deserve awards. Perhaps you can tie? I mean, it happened at the Oscars.

Best Actress in a Musical

  1. Carolee CarmelloScandalous
  2. Laura OsnesCinderella
  3. Lilla CrawfordAnnie
  4. Patina MillerPippin
  5. Stephanie J. BlockThe Mystery of Edwin Drood

Possible Spoiler: Valisia Lekae (Motown the Musical) may take Carolee’s spot (undeservedly) due to Tony’s short-term memory.

Note: Once again, the Tony Awards Administration Committee screws up. Despite setting the precedent in 2009 — when the three boys who alternated playing the title role in Billy Elliot not only received a single nod for Best Actor in a Musical, but won the award — the committee determined that the four girls playing Matilda are not eligible here. Instead, they will receive a special award — Tony Honors for Excellence in the Theater — “to recognize their outstanding performances this season.” Lame. Those girls deserve Lilla’s spot.

Best Featured Actor in a Play

  1. Courtney B. Vance, Lucky Guy
  2. John C. McGinleyGlengarry Glen Ross
  3. Richard Kind, The Big Knife
  4. Tom Sturridge, Orphans
  5. Tony ShaloubGolden Boy

Possible Spoiler: Jeremy Shamos in Glengarry Glen Ross, Michael Shannon will be here for sure for Grace if he’s considered featured

Best Featured Actor in a Musical

  1. Daniel Stewart Sherman, Kinky Boots
  2. Gabriel EbertMatilda
  3. Hunter Foster, Hands on a Hardbody
  4. Will ChaseThe Mystery of Edwin Drood
  5. Terrence MannPippin

Best Featured Actress in a Musical

  1. Andrea MartinPippin
  2. Annaleigh AshfordKinky Boots
  3. Keala SettleHands on a Hardbody
  4. Ryann RedmondBring It On: The Musical
  5. Victoria ClarkCinderella

Best Featured Actress in a Play

  1. Carrie Coon, Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
  2. Condola RashadThe Trip to Bountiful
  3. Judith Ivey, The Heiress
  4. Judith Light, The Assembled Parties
  5. Vanessa Williams, The Trip to Bountiful

Best Direction of a Play

  1. Bartlett Sherr, Golden Boy
  2. George C. WolfeLucky Guy
  3. Michael Wilson, The Trip to Bountiful
  4. Pam MacKinnonWho’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?

Best Direction of a Musical

  1. Diane PaulusPippin
  2. Jerry MitchellKinky Boots
  3. Matthew WarchusMatilda the Musical
  4. Scott EllisThe Mystery of Edwin Drood

Best Choreography

  1. Chet Walker, Pippin
  2. Jerry Mitchell, Kinky Boots
  3. Peter DarlingMatilda the Musical
  4. Andy BlankenbuehlerBring It On: The Musical

Best Book of a Musical

  1. A Christmas Story, Joseph Robinette
  2. Kinky Boots, Harvey Fierstein
  3. Hands on a Hardbody, Doug Wright
  4. Matilda The Musical, Dennis Kelly

Best Score

  1. Bring It On: The Musical, Tom Kitt and Lin-Manuel Miranda
  2. Hands on a Hardbody, Trey Anastasio
  3. Kinky Boots, Cyndi Lauper
  4. Matilda The Musical, Tim Minchin

Possible Spoiler: The Trip to Bountiful with original music by John Gromada (Not sure this would be considered a score, but it was lovely.)


One comment on “2013 Tony Awards: Nominee Predictions

  1. A-Ron
    April 28, 2013

    Great post. I needed to catch up on all of this information! This is very helpful.


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This entry was posted on April 28, 2013 by in Award Predictions, Broadway, Theatre, Tony Awards and tagged , , .



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