Critical Confabulations

a theatre, film & pop culture review

Oscars 2015: Final Winner Predictions

oscarsI always joke that I would do better with my predictions if I didn’t watch/analyze everything. I do, however, keep tabs on the other pundits’ projections and take that analysis into consideration when compiling my final list of predictions, which is what you see here. To read my full commentary on any given category, click on the link provided.

Now let’s get to it!

Note: An “*” indicates that this is a change from my original prediction.

Best Picture
Prediction: Birdman (or the unexpected virtue of ignorance)
Rooting for: Selma or Birdman (or the unexpected virtue of ignorance)

Best Director
Prediction: Alejandro González Iñárritu, Birdman (or the unexpected virtue of ignorance)
Rooting for: Alejandro González Iñárritu, Birdman (or the unexpected virtue of ignorance)
It’s happening. Boyhood isn’t getting either of the top two awards.

Best Actor
Prediction: Michael Keaton, Birdman (or the unexpected virtue of ignorance)
Rooting for: Michael Keaton, Birdman (or the unexpected virtue of ignorance)
This is me being foolish because all indicators are pointing toward Eddie Redmayne, but my gut still says Keaton.

Best Actress
Prediction: Julianne Moore, Still Alice
Rooting for: Julianne Moore, Still Alice or Marion Cotillard, Two Days, One Night

Best Supporting Actor
Prediction: J. K. Simmons, Whiplash
Rooting for: Edward Norton, Birdman (or the unexpected virtue of ignorance)

Best Supporting Actress
Prediction: Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
Rooting for: Emma Stone, Birdman (or the unexpected virtue of ignorance) or Laura Dern, Wild

Best Adapted Screenplay
Prediction: The Imitation Game, Graham Moore
Rooting for: Whiplash, Damien Chazelle

Best Original Screenplay
Prediction: The Grand Budapest Hotel, Wes Anderson
Rooting for: The Grand Budapest Hotel, Wes Anderson

Best Cinematography
Prediction: Birdman (or the unexpected virtue of ignorance), Emmanuel Lubezki
Rooting for: Birdman (or the unexpected virtue of ignorance), Emmanuel Lubezki
This will be Lubezki’s second Oscar in a row; he won for Gravity last year.

Best Film Editing
Prediction: Boyhood, Sandra Adair
Rooting for: Boyhood, Sandra Adair

Best Production Design
Prediction: The Grand Budapest Hotel, Adam Stockhausen & Anna Pinnock
Rooting for: The Grand Budapest Hotel, Adam Stockhausen & Anna Pinnock

Best Visual Effects
Prediction: Interstellar; Paul Franklin, Andrew Lockley, Ian Hunter, & Scott Fisher
Rooting for: Dawn of the Planet of the Apes, Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, Daniel Barrett, & Erik Winquist

Best Costume Design
Prediction: The Grand Budapest Hotel, Milena Canonero
Rooting for: The Grand Budapest Hotel, Milena Canonero

Best Makeup & Hairstyling
Prediction: The Grand Budapest Hotel, Frances Hannon, & Mark Coulier
Rooting for: The Grand Budapest Hotel, Frances Hannon, & Mark Coulier

Best Original Score
Prediction: The Theory of Everything, Jóhann Jóhannsson
Rooting for: The Grand Budapest Hotel, Alexandre Desplat

Best Original Song
Prediction: “Glory” from Selma
Rooting for: “Glory” from Selma

Best Sound Mixing
Prediction: Whiplash; Craig Mann, Ben Wilkins, & Thomas Curley*
Rooting for: Whiplash; Craig Mann, Ben Wilkins, & Thomas Curley
Interstellar was the frontrunner for awhile, but it looks like the tides have turned… though this could also mean a win for American Sniper instead.

Best Sound Editing
Prediction: American Sniper, Alan Robert Murray & Bub Asman
Rooting for: Birdman (or the unexpected virtue of ignorance), Martín Hernández & Aaron Glascock

Best Foreign Language Film
Prediction: Ida
Rooting for: Ida or Timbuktu

Best Animated Feature
Prediction: How to Train Your Dragon 2
Rooting for: Song of the Sea

Best Documentary Feature
Prediction: Citizenfour
Rooting for: Virunga
I am irate that Virunga will not win this. If you haven’t seen it, you must. Even if you think you don’t like documentaries, it is one of the best films of the year, hands down. It plays like a heart-stopping thriller about human/animal rights and environmental injustices. Please, please see it (it’s streaming on Netflix!). You won’t be sorry.

Best Animated Short Film
Prediction: The Dam Keeper
Rooting for: The Dam Keeper
This is another instance of stubbornly sticking with my gut. Most think Feast will take this, but for me, it’s The Dam Keeper all the way.

Best Live Action Short Film
Prediction: The Phone Call
Rooting for: Aya

Best Documentary Short Subject
Prediction: Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1*
Rooting for: The Reaper or Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1
Joanna was the frontrunner for awhile, but it seems like love for American Sniper (shudder) is translating to this category as well with Crisis Hotline, which deals with veterans’ PTSD in a more effective way than Eastwood’s film. Then again, I’m notoriously bad at predicting this category.

 

Happy Oscar-ing!

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2 comments on “Oscars 2015: Final Winner Predictions

  1. Winston Graysmith
    February 24, 2015

    Hi, Julie! Nice predictions! Did you like the winners? I really enjoyed Whiplash’s victory on the editing category, and disliked the victory of Birdman’s screenplay over Wes Anderson’s. And what about the ceremony itself? Take care!

    Like

    • Julie
      February 24, 2015

      Thanks, Winston! I (obviously) though Wes Anderson should’ve won for screenplay too. I didn’t think the ceremony was all that great this year… the writing was pretty awful/not funny.

      Like

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